Hurricane Erin, which briefly reached Category 5 strength over the weekend, has weakened to a still-dangerous Category 3 storm with sustained winds of 125 mph. As of Sunday evening, the storm was located near 22.1°N, 68.8°W, moving west-northwest at 13 mph. While Erin’s core is expected to stay east of the Bahamas, its wide reach—tropical-storm-force winds extend up to 205 miles—has triggered warnings for the Turks and Caicos and southeast Bahamas. The National Hurricane Center warns of life-threatening surf and rip currents along the U.S. East Coast as the storm grows in size.

Forecasts currently show Erin passing between Bermuda and North Carolina’s Outer Banks, but any westward shift could bring stronger impacts to areas like Long Island, Cape Cod, and the Outer Banks, including coastal flooding and beach erosion. From Tuesday through Thursday, Erin’s effects may reach as far north as New York, New Jersey, and Connecticut, with the heaviest impacts expected along coastal areas such as the Jersey Shore and Long Island’s South Shore. While inland regions will likely experience only breezy conditions, officials caution that the storm’s track remains uncertain and could still pose significant hazards.