The 2028 U.S. presidential election may still be years away, but a new online simulation is already fueling debate. The YouTube channel “Election Time” asked Grok — developed by Elon Musk’s xAI — to forecast a hypothetical matchup between Kamala Harris and JD Vance. Using early primary polling, betting market data, and historical voting trends, the AI projected how both Democratic and Republican primaries could unfold. Harris currently leads early Democratic polling with 32 percent support, ahead of Gavin Newsom, while Vance dominates Republican polling at nearly 50 percent, well ahead of Donald Trump Jr. and other potential contenders. The video suggests both figures would likely secure their party nominations if current trends continue.

Grok then generated a full Electoral College map, assigning “solid,” “likely,” and “lean” states to each candidate. Vance was projected to carry a wide range of traditionally Republican states, along with key battlegrounds such as Arizona, Georgia, and Wisconsin. Harris was forecast to maintain strong support across reliably Democratic states including California, New York, and Massachusetts. After tallying all projections, the AI simulation gave Vance 312 electoral votes to Harris’s 212, indicating a clear Republican victory. While entirely speculative, the forecast highlights how AI tools are increasingly being used to model future political scenarios and spark discussion online.